Lots of writing about the future takes one of two forms: Dystopian: everything is awful! Robots/Fascists/Communists/[Insert baddies here] have brought about the apocalypse, or made most people into their prisoners or slaves. Utopian: everything is amazing…
Bryan Caplan has written a few times about why he believes mental illnesses are ‘socially disapproved preferences’. His view is that you can distinguish…
In most developed countries, girls do better than boys at school. There’s a ton of evidence for this - see here, here, or here. This hasn’t always been…
1) David Nash has started a substack that gives updates on developments in Effective Altruism. 2) This article in The Economist about the economics of…
I like forecasting. I’m not bad at it, my scores on Good Judgment Open are pretty good. If you’ve read Phil Tetlock’s brilliant book Superforecasting…
On average, right-wing people are more conscientious than left-wing people. This is basically a universal law - it’s true in the UK, it’s true in the…
I read Sam’s excellent post instructing us to be wary of interesting ideas this week and enjoyed it immensely, despite disagreeing pretty strongly with…
I have a hunch that may or may not be true. If someone mentions an idea to you, the more interesting it sounds, the less likely it is to be true. By…
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All That is Solid