All That is Solid

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Lots of writing about the future takes one of two forms: Dystopian: everything is awful! Robots/Fascists/Communists/[Insert baddies here] have brought…
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Bryan Caplan has written a few times about why he believes mental illnesses are ‘socially disapproved preferences’. His view is that you can distinguish…
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In most developed countries, girls do better than boys at school. There’s a ton of evidence for this - see here, here, or here. This hasn’t always been…
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1) David Nash has started a substack that gives updates on developments in Effective Altruism. 2) This article in The Economist about the economics of…
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I like forecasting. I’m not bad at it, my scores on Good Judgment Open are pretty good. If you’ve read Phil Tetlock’s brilliant book Superforecasting…
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On average, right-wing people are more conscientious than left-wing people. This is basically a universal law - it’s true in the UK, it’s true in the…
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I read Sam’s excellent post instructing us to be wary of interesting ideas this week and enjoyed it immensely, despite disagreeing pretty strongly with…
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I have a hunch that may or may not be true. If someone mentions an idea to you, the more interesting it sounds, the less likely it is to be true. By…
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When I was about 17 or 18, I did something that I now regret. I had noticed the success of a few websites like Zen Habits, and thought that I could…
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1. Could bicycles be an effective intervention? This Twitter thread (and the paper it refers to) suggests they could be. 2. Caplan launched his new blog…
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There are a few questions I think are interesting and would like to know the answer to. Most of these questions I haven’t really bothered researching…
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The sort of people who read this blog probably already know that their political views are unusual. If you think the amount of immigration should be…
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